Sunak calls General Election for July 4th
Rishi Sunak, Prime Minister of the UK, has called a general election for July 4th, 2024. Political parties will now begin 6 weeks of campaigning to see who will win the election and form the next British government.
A soggy Sunak, standing outside 10 Downing Street in the pouring rain, announced that he had already spoken to King Charles III to ask him to dissolve parliament and call a general election for the 4th of July.
Where the parties stand 6 weeks out
We’re using our own prediction model which takes the result of the 2024 local elections back on May 2nd and applies swing from national opinion polling since then. This model finds that Labour would win with a majority of 160 if the election were held right now…
| Party | Predicted Vote Share | Predicted Seats | Change vs. 2019 |
| 🌹 Labour | 36.5% | 405 | +203 |
| 🌳 Conservatives | 23.7% | 135 | -230 |
| 🔶 Liberal Democrats | 13.8% | 64 | +53 |
| 🌻 Greens | 11.3% | 3 | +2 |
| ➡️ Reform | 8.2% | 0 | – |
| 🎗️ SNP | 3.1% | 19 | -29 |
| 👤 Other | 3.4% | 24 | +1 |
Of course, the election isn’t being held right now. It’s being held after a 6 week campaign where the parties will go to the country with their manifestos and try to win the public over.
We’ll keep our coverage and predictions coming throughout the next 6 weeks.
